Former officials and Arab and international experts on terrorism and the economy at the Arab Strategic Forum

The 11th session of the Arab Strategic Forum reviewed a number of political and economic issues, raising a number of strategic questions and expectations about the state of the world economically and politically.

The Arab State of the World Policy Forum in 2019 considered the geopolitical, economic and social challenges that have created a nurturing environment for terrorism, exacerbated regional conflicts and heightened international interventions on a number of key issues.

The meeting was attended by Dr. Iyad Allawi, former Prime Minister of Iraq, Nasser Judeh, former Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs of Jordan, and former Egyptian Foreign Minister Dr. Nabil Fahmy.

Dr. Ayad Allawi discussed during the session a number of issues 2018 and others, including the Syrian issue, stressing that the negative consequences of the problems faced by Syria and a number of countries in the region accumulated from year to year without finding a viable solution, but that the challenges continue to increase year after year.

Allawi warned during the session what he described as “the third generation of terrorism” to achieve the same agendas and extremist goals. There must be an Arab system to confront it, calling for upgrading the Arab reality for the better and supporting the Arab League with all available resources.

On the issue of water in the Arab region and Iraq in particular, Allawi said that in the Tigris reached the volume of pumping water to 400 cubic meters per second, part of the dam in Mosul, and in the Euphrates 250 cubic meters per second, pointing out that Iran’s water withdrawal operations cause increased salinity, The tidal wave of Shatt al-Arab has become more water resources with Iran as a result of its investments in water resources.

For his part, Nasser Judeh, Deputy Prime Minister and former Jordanian Foreign Minister, congratulated the UAE on this important initiative of dialogue between officials, decision-makers and experts.

He said that the Palestinian issue is the gateway to resolving many conflicts and is an entrance to stability in the region. He called for finding the lost balance between the Arab interests and the interests of other countries; regional or global, where we must rely on ourselves but do not mind getting external assistance.

He said that in order to confront these crises and how to deal with countries in a number of issues, I believe that the role of the Arab League should be activated in launching initiatives and finding ideas, visions and exits for crises, but with the need to develop real solutions, pointing to the need for a plan for reconstruction and development in the Arab world, “Marshall Plan” to develop our economy and improve the social status of our countries so as to ensure the prevention of terrorism and the elimination of the nurturing and nurturing environment.

Nabil Fahmy, the former Egyptian foreign minister, said: “If we want to talk about the future, we must describe the present. There is an Arab political weakness. Two central things must be done. First, adopt a gradual and sound change to build a better future for the countries of the region. In the past 100 years, Arab countries have relied on the West and the East on national security issues. As a result, what we see today is that Iran, Israel and Turkey are putting pressure on Arab countries in an unreasonable and unacceptable way. “

As for the phenomenon of terrorism and the stalemate of security issues in the Arab world, Nabil Fahmy said: “If we look at the long term, there is no one’s interest in terrorism, but in the short term there are parties benefiting from the aggravation of the situation of the Arab world and some of its countries in particular.

He said that the actions of Iran and Turkey in the region are unacceptable, and Qatar must change its current approach to be like other Arab countries, and of course it is in the interest of the Gulf States and the Arab world to unite in the face of the regional powers tainted by its wealth and gains.

During a session entitled “Global Balance of Power – Change or Stability” at the meetings of the Arab Strategic Forum, Parag Khana, the author and geostrategic expert on international political relations, whose features have been shaping since the end of the Cold War as a trawling exercise. The world in which we live today has been tightly linked through globalization, infrastructure, trade routes and others. It is likely to enhance the means of communication and interdependence between nations and to achieve common interests in the old way of competition and to try to conquer the other side in international relations.

“Since the end of the Second World War, there has been a lot of speculation that a third world war is imminent, but that has not happened. The main reason is the interdependence of all parts of the world, making the destinies of countries dependent on some,” Khana said.

“Today, we are talking about new links between parts of the world, and here we see the importance of trade, knowledge exchange and the transfer of capital between different countries and regions as a tool for international transactions,” he said. Neither Beijing nor London can claim to be the world’s superpower. Because of the changing forms of conflict and inter-State relations today, it is difficult for any State to dictate anything to others. The strength of States is determined by the level of interdependence and exchange between them and others.

He concluded by talking about the practical applications that the countries of the Arab region should use in building a strong and competitive region at the global level. “The new Arab world map shows that there are weak states and others that are beginning to collapse, praising the rise of the UAE as a safe and peaceful destination for peace and stability, and other Gulf countries whose strategies have begun to form a road map for sustainable economic development,” he said.

“We have to think about a more productive future, especially at the regional level,” he said.

Historically, there has been a railway connecting all parts of the region with its neighborhood, and these ideas and trends in the Arab region must be revived. Today the UAE is the Arab model that other countries in the region must follow in order to achieve stability in the region and thus achieve great development at all levels. “

He pointed out that the history of this region is based on the presence of major cities and important trade lines. Dubai has continued this approach and has benefited from the lessons of the past. International cities do not look at other cities as rivals, but as allies, and that is what Dubai is doing. Dubai is an example of how to use specialized economic zones and provide smart services that facilitate trade, industry and investment. Today, Dubai is moving its pioneering experience to other cities in the Arab world.

In a session entitled “The State of the World Economically in 2019”, in the work of the Arab Strategic Forum, Professor Jack Low, former US Treasury Secretary, predicted that 2019 would be the year of calm in the global customs and trade war, specifically between the United States and China. , Lord Mervyn King, former Governor of the Bank of England and member of the House of Lords, said that the global economy in 2019 will continue to innovate and create successful practical solutions.

The two international economic experts presented their expectations in a session that looks at the world economic situation in 2019, at the 11th session of the Arab Strategic Forum hosted by Dubai, while the dialogue was moderated by Manos Krani of the Bloomberg Economic Agency.

He called for flexibility in the development of the annual and quarterly banking policies strategically according to the data, not the expectations. He said that after ten years of the financial crisis in 2008, there is no clear roadmap for the responsibilities of institutions to deal with any future crisis.

Lord Mervyn King said the global economy will continue to reduce the importance of talking about a global economic crisis in 2019, saying that cycles of the natural economy are experiencing an upsurge and a decline in growth from time to time, as has always been the case in the global economy.

“It is very difficult to predict the recession that is taking place every year, but there is a slowdown in the pace of growth of the global economy now,” King said. “For example, what is happening in China is where projects are funded that the financial system there may not be able to reap. Its fruits are instantaneous.

King said the world now has greater potential to extrapolate the indicators of any future crisis, but he said the problem lies in the financial system more than others. The United States has one of the most advanced financial systems in the world, but markets always expect interest rates to remain low.

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